\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u6642\u5e38\u807d\u5230\u300c\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u300d\u548c\u300c\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u6216\u7136\u7387\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e9b\u5230\u5e95\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5462\uff1f\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u53c8\u8a72\u5982\u4f55\u8a08\u7b97\u53ca\u904b\u7528\uff1f\u5c31\u8b93\u9322\u7de8\u4f86\u6559\u5927\u5bb6\u671f\u671b\u503c\u8cfa\u9322\u6cd5\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c-EV\u503c\uff08 Expected Value \uff09\u6240\u8b02\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5c31\u662f\u300c\u73a9\u5bb6\u9810\u60f3\u81ea\u5df1\u5728\u6bcf\u4e00\u5c40\u904a\u6232\u4e2d\u80fd\u7372\u5229\u591a\u5c11\u91d1\u984d<\/mark><\/strong>\u300d\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7a31\u70ba\u300c\u6216\u7136\u7387\u300d\u3001\u300c\u671f\u76fc\u503c\u300d\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u7684\u904e\u76e4\u6a5f\u7387\u5e73\u5747\u53ea\u67091.06%\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u662f\u6240\u6709\u904a\u6232\u671f\u671b\u503c\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u3002\u5c0d\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u57fa\u672c\u898f\u5247\u9084\u4e0d\u592a\u719f\u6089\u7684\u670b\u53cb\uff0c\u5728\u904a\u73a9\u4e4b\u524d\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c3\u8003\u3010\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u65b0\u624b\u61f6\u4eba\u5305<\/a>\u3011\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u904a\u6232\u904b\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u8a08\u7b97<\/h2>\n\n\n\n(\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u8a08\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c=100%-\u8ced\u5834\u512a\u52e2(\u904e\u76e4\u6a5f\u7387)\u5047\u8a2d\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u73a9\u5bb6\u904e\u76e4\u6a5f\u7387\u70ba1.06%\uff0c\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5c31\u70ba98.94%\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4f60\u6295\u6ce8100\u5143\u80fd\u671f\u671b\u56de\u653698.94\u5143\u3002\u60f3\u8981\u958b\u59cb\u7d71\u8a08\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u6a5f\u7387\uff1a\u9996\u5148\u4f60\u8981\u5148\u77e5\u9053\u6700\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u8853\u8a9e\uff01<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n8\u526f\u724c<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\u73a9\u5bb6\u4e0b\u6ce8<\/td>\u904e\u76e4\u6a5f\u7387<\/td>\u671f\u671b\u503c(100%- \u904e\u76e4\u6a5f\u7387)<\/td><\/tr>\u62bc\u838a<\/td>1.06%<\/td>98.94%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>\u62bc\u9592<\/td>1.24%<\/td>98.76%<\/td><\/tr>\u62bc\u548c\u5c40<\/td>14.36%<\/td>85.64%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>(8\u526f\u724c\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u8868)<\/figcaption><\/div>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n6\u526f\u724c<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\u73a9\u5bb6\u4e0b\u6ce8<\/td>\u904e\u76e4\u6a5f\u7387<\/td>\u671f\u671b\u503c(100%- \u904e\u76e4\u6a5f\u7387)<\/td><\/tr>\u62bc\u838a<\/td>1.06%<\/td>98.94%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>\u62bc\u9592<\/td>1.24%<\/td>98.76%<\/td><\/tr>\u62bc\u548c\u5c40<\/td>14.44%<\/td>85.56%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>(6\u526f\u724c\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u8868)<\/figcaption><\/div>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n1\u526f\u724c<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\u73a9\u5bb6\u4e0b\u6ce8<\/td>\u904e\u76e4\u6a5f\u7387<\/td>\u671f\u671b\u503c(100%- \u904e\u76e4\u6a5f\u7387)<\/td><\/tr>\u62bc\u838a<\/td>1.01%<\/td>98.99%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>\u62bc\u9592<\/td>1.29%<\/td>98.71%<\/td><\/tr>\u62bc\u548c\u5c40<\/td>15.75%<\/td>84.25%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>(1\u526f\u724c\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u8868)<\/figcaption><\/div>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n \n\n \u9032\u724c\u5ef3\u770b\u724c\u55ae \n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/button>\n<\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u8cfa\u9322\u7b56\u7565\uff5c\u63d0\u5347\u671f\u671b\u503c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\uff08\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u8cfa\u9322\u7b56\u7565\uff5c\u63d0\u5347\u671f\u671b\u503c\uff09<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\u5f9e\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8868\u683c\u5f97\u77e5\uff0c\u55ae\u7d14\u53ea\u7528\u5132\u503c\u91d1\u53bb\u6295\u6ce8\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u73a9\u5bb6\u7684\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u6700\u591a\u4e5f\u53ea\u670998.99%\uff0c\u4f46\u642d\u914d\u9322\u76c8\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\u512a\u60e0\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8b93\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5927\u5927\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u9322\u7de8\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e09\u7a2e\u512a\u60e0\u642d\u914d\u73a9\u6cd5\uff0c\u7d55\u5c0d\u662f\u7a69\u8cfa\u4e0d\u8ce0\u7684\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u8cfa\u9322\u6280\u5de7\uff01\ud83d\udca5\ud83d\udca5\ud83d\udca5\u6ce8\u610f\uff01\uff01\u8acb\u5148\u63d0\u9ad8\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u52dd\u7387<\/a><\/strong>\uff0c\u518d\u4f86\u8003\u616e\u512a\u60e0\u642d\u914d\uff0c\u628a\u672c\u91d1\u505a\u6700\u5927\u5316\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n\u642d\u914d\u512a\u60e0\u6d3b\u52d5<\/th>\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\u9996\u5132\u512a\u60e0<\/td>109%<\/td><\/tr>\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u6311\u6230\u8cfd<\/td>118%<\/td><\/tr>\u9080\u8acb1\u4f4d\u597d\u53cb<\/td>105%<\/td><\/tr>\u9080\u8acb16\u4f4d\u597d\u53cb<\/td>2969%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>(\u642d\u914d\u9322\u76c8\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\u512a\u60e0\uff0c\u8b93\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u63d0\u9ad8)<\/figcaption><\/div>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\u642d\u914d\u9996\u5132\u512a\u60e0\uff5c\u9001500\u9ede\u5c08\u5c6c\u767c\u8ca1\u91d1<\/span><\/i><\/span><\/i><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n\u9322\u76c8\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\u9996\u5132\u512a\u60e0\u6d3b\u52d5\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u8a3b\u518a\u9996\u6b21\u5132\u503c1000\u9ede\uff0c\u5c31\u9001500\u9ede\u5c08\u5c6c\u8fd4\u5229\u3002\u5047\u8a2d\u73a9\u5bb6\u5132\u503c\u672c\u91d14500\u9ede\uff0c\u9001500\u9ede\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u5728\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u7684\u4e00\u526f\u724c\u6709\u6548\u6295\u6ce8\u91cf\u70ba5000\u9ede\uff0c\u53ef\u6536\u56de4949.5\u9ede(5000 x 98.99%)\uff0c\u800c\u73a9\u5bb6\u672c\u91d1\u53ea\u67094500\u9ede\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8cfa\u4e86449.5\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u6642\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5c31\u9ad8\u9054\u4e86109%(4949.5\/4500)\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u6ce8100\u5143\u6536\u53d6109\u5143\u3002\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a\u3010\u9996\u5132\u63a8\u85a6\u30112023\u6700\u512a\u60e0\u7684\u7dda\u4e0a\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\uff01<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n \n\n \u9818\u53d6\u512a\u60e0 \n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/button>\n<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n\u53c3\u52a0\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u6311\u6230\u8cfd\uff5c8888\u9ede\u734e\u91d1<\/span><\/i><\/span><\/i><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n\u5047\u8a2d\u73a9\u5bb6\u5132\u503c\u672c\u91d15000\u9ede\uff0c\u53c3\u52a0\u9322\u76c8\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u6311\u6230\u8cfd\uff0c\u5728\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u7684\u4e00\u526f\u724c\u6709\u6548\u6295\u6ce85000\u9ede\u4e14\u8d0f10\u5834\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u5f97\u56de\u994b\u734e\u52f5999\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u6642\u9810\u671f\u53ef\u56de\u6536\u91d1\u984d\u52a0\u4e0a\u6311\u6230\u8cfd\u734e\u52f5\uff0c\u56de\u6536\u7e3d\u91d1\u984d\u70ba5948.5\u9ede(5000 x 98.99%+999)\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8cfa\u4e86948.5\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u6642\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u9ad8\u9054\u4e86118%(5948.5\/5000)\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u6ce8100\u5143\u6536\u53d6118\u5143\u3002\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u6311\u6230\u8cfd\uff5c8888\u79ae\u91d1\u76f4\u63a5\u5e36\u56de\u5bb6\uff01<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n \n\n \u9032\u5165\u6311\u6230\u8cfd\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/button>\n<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n\u9080\u8acb\u597d\u53cb\u8a3b\u518a\uff5c\u9818500\u9ede\u56de\u994b\u91d1<\/span><\/i><\/span><\/i><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n\u53ea\u8981\u597d\u53cb\u5728\u9322\u76c8\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\u5132\u503c\u90543000\u9ede\u6216\u662f15000\u9ede\uff0c\u63a8\u85a6\u4eba\u5c31\u7acb\u5373\u7372\u5f97300\u9ede\u6216500\u9ede\u7684\u56de\u994b\u3002\u9080\u8acb1\u4f4d\u597d\u53cb\uff1a<\/mark><\/strong>\u5047\u8a2d\u73a9\u5bb6\u5132\u503c\u672c\u91d14700\u9ede\uff0c\u9001300\u9ede\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u5728\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u7684\u4e00\u526f\u724c\u6709\u6548\u6295\u6ce8\u91cf\u70ba5000\u9ede\uff0c\u53ef\u6536\u56de4949.5\u9ede(5000 x 98.99%)\uff0c\u800c\u73a9\u5bb6\u672c\u91d1\u53ea\u67094700\u9ede\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8cfa\u4e86249.5\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u6642\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5c31\u9ad8\u9054\u4e86105%(4949.5\/4700)\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u6ce8100\u5143\u6536\u53d6105\u5143\u3002\u9080\u8acb16\u4f4d\u597d\u53cb\uff1a<\/mark><\/strong>\u5047\u8a2d\u73a9\u5bb6\u5132\u503c\u672c\u91d1200\u9ede\uff0c\u90014800\u9ede\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u5728\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u7684\u4e00\u526f\u724c\u6709\u6548\u6295\u6ce8\u91cf\u70ba6000\u9ede\uff0c\u53ef\u6536\u56de5939.4\u9ede(6000 x 98.99%)\uff0c\u800c\u73a9\u5bb6\u672c\u91d1\u53ea\u6709200\u9ede\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8cfa\u4e865739.4\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u6642\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5c31\u9ad8\u9054\u4e862969%(5939.4\/200)\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u6ce8100\u5143\u6536\u53d62969\u5143\u3002\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a\u3010\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\u4ee3\u7406\u3011\u9080\u8acb\u597d\u53cb\u96f6\u6210\u672c\u63d0\u9ad8\u671f\u671b\u503c\uff01<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n \n\n \u9080\u8acb\u597d\u53cb \n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n 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98.99%+999)\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8cfa\u4e86948.5\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u6642\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u9ad8\u9054\u4e86118%(5948.5\/5000)\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u6ce8100\u5143\u6536\u53d6118\u5143\u3002\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u6311\u6230\u8cfd\uff5c8888\u79ae\u91d1\u76f4\u63a5\u5e36\u56de\u5bb6\uff01<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n \n\n \u9032\u5165\u6311\u6230\u8cfd\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n 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98.99%)\uff0c\u800c\u73a9\u5bb6\u672c\u91d1\u53ea\u67094700\u9ede\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8cfa\u4e86249.5\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u6642\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5c31\u9ad8\u9054\u4e86105%(4949.5\/4700)\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u6ce8100\u5143\u6536\u53d6105\u5143\u3002\u9080\u8acb16\u4f4d\u597d\u53cb\uff1a<\/mark><\/strong>\u5047\u8a2d\u73a9\u5bb6\u5132\u503c\u672c\u91d1200\u9ede\uff0c\u90014800\u9ede\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u5728\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u7684\u4e00\u526f\u724c\u6709\u6548\u6295\u6ce8\u91cf\u70ba6000\u9ede\uff0c\u53ef\u6536\u56de5939.4\u9ede(6000 x 98.99%)\uff0c\u800c\u73a9\u5bb6\u672c\u91d1\u53ea\u6709200\u9ede\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8cfa\u4e865739.4\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u6642\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5c31\u9ad8\u9054\u4e862969%(5939.4\/200)\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6295\u6ce8100\u5143\u6536\u53d62969\u5143\u3002\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a\u3010\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\u4ee3\u7406\u3011\u9080\u8acb\u597d\u53cb\u96f6\u6210\u672c\u63d0\u9ad8\u671f\u671b\u503c\uff01<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n \n\n \u9080\u8acb\u597d\u53cb \n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n <\/span>\n 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